Power battery recycling market: the prospects are good to break the industry short board

The reuse and recycling of power batteries are all the links in China's new energy automobile industry chain, and the huge power lithium battery treatment brought about by the gradual approach of new energy vehicle industrialization has become an urgent problem to be solved. According to the results of CCID Research, it is estimated that in 2015, the cumulative amount of power lithium batteries will be about 2-4 million tons. By 2020, the cumulative scrap of new energy vehicles in China will reach 12-17 million tons. scale. Such a huge amount of battery recovery requires advance research and business model exploration of the power lithium battery recycling business.

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Since the beginning of this year, with the announcement of the third batch of catalogues, the situation of new energy vehicles' production and sales has gradually recovered. However, the problem of recycling used batteries in the industry has not been solved. The industry believes that not only should we study battery standardization and implement traceability systems, increase research and development of key technologies for recycling and reuse, and promote the healthy and sustainable development of the power battery recycling industry.

According to foreign media reports, a document published by the SEC (US Securities and Exchange Commission) on May 3 showed that two Tesla executives: co-founder and CTO JB Straubel and company special project leader Andrew Stevenson co-founded A new company called "Redwood Materials", which specializes in the recycling and reuse of industrial raw materials. It is inferred that these "raw materials" are likely to be raw materials for power batteries.

As a "high-end player" of new energy vehicles, Teslabu is clearly a blue ocean in the market for power battery recycling, which is decisive. So what is China’s power battery recycling in China, the country with the largest energy vehicle?

The harm of used power battery

In the past two years, China's new energy vehicle ownership has grown rapidly, and the utilization and recycling of power lithium batteries have become a problem that the industry must face. According to the prediction of China Automotive Technology and Research Center, by 2020, the cumulative scrap of power batteries for pure electric (including plug-in) passenger cars and hybrid passenger cars in China will reach 12-17 million tons.

"A 20-gram mobile phone battery can pollute the water of 3 standard swimming pools. If it is abandoned on the land, it can pollute 1 square kilometer of land for about 50 years. Imagine if a few tons of electric vehicle power battery is abandoned in nature. In the environment, a large amount of heavy metals and chemicals enter nature, which will cause greater pollution to the environment.” Wu Feng, a professor at Beijing Institute of Technology, publicly stated.

In fact, most of the vehicle power batteries in China are lithium-ion batteries. Although they do not contain heavy metal elements such as mercury, cadmium and lead, as Professor Wu Feng said, if the lithium-ion batteries are not handled properly, they will still cause environmental damage. Great pollution.

Waste power batteries seem to end in life, but through recycling and purification technologies such as dismantling and purification, raw materials such as nickel, cobalt and manganese are returned to the power battery industry in the form of new elements. The end of the life of old products is also the beginning of new product production.

Promising prospects for power battery recycling

The "Energy Conservation and New Energy Vehicle Industry Development Plan (2012-2020)" promulgated in July 2012 clearly stated that it is necessary to formulate management measures for power battery recycling and utilization, establish a cascade utilization and recycling management system, and guide production enterprises to strengthen the use of used batteries. Recycling encourages the development of specialized battery recycling companies.

According to the prediction of China Automotive Technology and Research Center, by 2020, the cumulative scrap of power batteries for pure electric (including plug-in) passenger cars and hybrid passenger cars in China will reach 12-17 million tons. After the “new decoupling” of the new energy auto industry, the power battery recycling market closely related to it will become a rising emerging market.

At the beginning of this year, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, the Ministry of Commerce, and the Ministry of Science and Technology issued the "Guiding Opinions on Accelerating the Development of Renewable Resources Industry", which emphasized "the pilot of recycling and utilization of new energy vehicles' power batteries, establishing and perfecting the standard system for the utilization of waste power batteries, and promoting waste. Power battery cascade utilization."

In the industry view, the power lithium battery recycling and ladder utilization industry will become a new opportunity in the industry. According to estimates by authoritative institutions, the market will start to erupt in 2018, and that year will reach 5 billion yuan. By 2020 and 2023, the market will further grow to 13.6 billion yuan and 31.1 billion yuan.

Market chaos still needs to be broken

Despite the clear policy direction and the active participation of enterprises, the system for recycling power batteries has not been well established. According to the research data, the number of power batteries actually entering the dismantling and recycling in 2016 is less than 10,000 tons, and more than 80% of the scrapped batteries are still stuck in the hands of car companies. According to industry analysts, this is due to the technical details of the recycling of power batteries and the corresponding economic problems have not been resolved, resulting in the slow progress of power battery recycling.

In addition, the recovery of power batteries also has a high technical threshold. It is understood that the core technology of the power battery recycling industry is how to extract or extract the active ingredients by using a chemical solvent with a suitable formula, and re-manufacture the battery raw materials for recycling. But these formulations are also trade secrets for power battery companies, and battery recycling plants are difficult to master.

According to industry insiders, at present, most of the used power batteries in China's power battery recycling market have flowed into unqualified refurbished small workshops. These small workshops are backward in process equipment. After recycling, only the used power batteries are simply repaired and repackaged. market. In addition, because these small workshops do not have the relevant qualifications, there are widespread safety hazards and environmental issues.

How do companies choose to respond?

For the emerging emerging market of used power batteries, industry enterprises, new energy vehicles and battery manufacturers are stepping up their layout in terms of recycling, dismantling and utilization.

Zhang Tianren, chairman of Tianneng Group, believes that in addition to increasing key technologies such as dismantling, reorganization, testing and life prediction of used lithium batteries, it is necessary to formulate incentives for the recycling of power lithium batteries and establish a reward and punishment mechanism. For example, enterprises that fail to fulfill their obligations in accordance with the recycling policy should be punished for subsidies or tax incentives for recycling and recycling enterprises in accordance with the number of batteries and capacity, and encourage business model innovation pilots and promotion applications.

In addition, it is necessary to encourage business model innovation pilots, copy the development model of recycling economy with promotion value, and implement the construction of power battery recycling system, but avoid some speculative enterprises to enter the industry in order to subsidize the follow-up.

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